Nifty futures trend finder tool, this online application can be used to find the trend daily. All you need to enter is nifty spot price and nearby out of the money nifty call and put option prices. Then it will display the probability of a particular trend if it is up or down. The driving criterion behind trend calculation is the difference between spot price and the strike price of the call and put option. Now, one side option premium is always more than the fare value and it will help determine the trend.
We know that options markets are dominated by the option writers. As they are the smartest traders amongst all, they will write options carefully. All the out of the money (OTM) options becomes worthless on the expiry. So writers make a lot of money, whereas the buyers will lose money most of the time, as future and options are always 2 people zero-sum game.
This nifty future trend finder uses this difference between the premium. It helps us to know which options are costly, the option which has more premium the near term trend should be in that direction. However, in this online tool, we are not considering the IV (implied volatility).
The accuracy of this tool is high enough to help traders determine the trend based on the Options open interest data. But options open interest and premium can change the near-term trend, so trade carefully. Always use technical charts to confirm the direction of the trend.
How to use Nifty futures trend finder:
- Enter Nifty Spot price.
- Enter the current price of the call option of the strike price. Strike price will be displayed when you enter nifty spot price.
- Then enter the current market price of the put option as displayed below.
- Just click on Find Trend button.
If you are interested in learning options trading online, then do call us at +91-9970777789. LIMITED SEATS ONLY!!
anand says
Nice update Bhaveek!
Bhaveek Patel says
Thanks Anand, Did you like nifty trend finder??? Tell me what would you like to see here in this blog share your creative ideas. 😀
william says
dear Bhaveek today the market was treanding upwards but the tread indicator was showing down wards tread what could be the reason.
surya says
Bhaveek, Hi this is surya, only today i came to know about this site as i was browsing something related to this.
I would like to clarify that does your predictions gets effected due to any changes in the news.
JOHN says
ON 4 JUL 16 AT 3.30 PM SPOT NIFTY @ 8370.- 8500 [email protected] [email protected]. UP TREND YOUR CALCULATOR RESULT. I WANTED TO CHECK WHAT WILL HAPPEN IN NIFTY ON 5 JULY 16. ON 5 JUL 16 NIFTY HIGH 8381 LOW 8319 CLOSE 8335. WITHOUT CHECKING YOUR CALCULATOR I TELL YOU NOW ON 7 JUL 16 NIFTY WILL FALL BY MINIMUM 50 POINTS. IT IS STRONG DOWN TREND FROM 4 JUL 16 FROM 12 PM. WHAT CALCULATOR?
JOHN says
Nifty Future Trend Finder:
Nifty Spot Price (CMP)
8335
Enter price for Nifty
8400
CE
92.5
Enter price for Nifty
8200
PE
61.65
Find Trend
The chances of Nifty Future going up is 35.49 % and going down is 64.52 %
TREND IS DOWN
THIS IS CORRECT FOR TOMORROW.
lINZAD says
PLEASE HELP ME PROPVIDING THE CALCULATION STEPS FOR excel….Please
anand says
As of now blog seems very good, with lot of useful info.
plz add social network plugin to internal pages also, on some pages its missing, like I don’t find one, on this page.
Bhaveek Patel says
I will place facebook share / like and twitter button today itself. Thanks Anand for your valuable suggestion. 🙂
Anupam says
Hi Bhaveek,
It seems a good tool, just want to know that, the suggested trend is what timeline, like Daily, Weekly or ??
Bhaveek Patel says
Hi Anupam, The trend shown in this tool is on daily time frame. Should be treated as near term trend, depending on trend you must chase the bulls or bears. 🙂 Happy trading.
Anupam says
Thnx a lot Bhaveek 🙂
Jitendra B says
Good Input
Mahadeo Gaikwad says
This system good can u tell me hoe to plot in excel file send me details on mail [email protected]
good work
Bhaveek Patel says
Hi Mahadeo, This system is based on javascript and some calculation. I will create a new excel based system for nifty trend finder and let you know. 🙂
Saju james says
Waiting 4 ur excel based system
Linzad says
Please let me know the calculation steps sir…
Ajit karmalkar says
Hi Bhaveek,
This Nifty Future Trend Finder free Application can be used for other Index also like Bank nifty.
Regards,
Ajit karmalkar
Bhaveek Patel says
I have not optimized it for bank nifty, but for nifty future it works like a dream.
Pradeep says
Good tool Bhaveek. Can you tell me how much is the minimum % it should show to initiate a trade? Today I get 51% down after filing the data which dont give me confidence
Bhaveek Patel says
Pradeep, For more confident direction of nifty, you should see percentage more than 60%. So more than 60% chance is good indication for nifty being bullish or bearish.
baskar says
sir
sir please clarify by seeing your nifty trend indication can i go for long or short nifty tomorrow
Bhaveek Patel says
According to Nifty trend finder nifty is bearish, which can confirmed if you look at my latest article here. Below is screenshot of trend that came after I have placed the data.
anil kumar mondal says
how to get the software for NIFTY TREND FINDER
Linzad says
I can provide you in excel
Linzad says
Can I get this calculation steps for using in Excel sheet??
harsh says
Hi Baveek,
Thank you for sharing such a good tool.
Is it possible to give a approx entry and exit prices along with trend?
Bhaveek Patel says
Thanks Harsh for commenting here. For approx entries and exits you need to look at the charts and study them. As this trend finding tool is based on mathematical calculations, so it don’t use concept of technical analysis or charts. Hence charts would be good tool to find your entries and exits.
Regards,
Bhaveek Patel
omkar kulkarni says
Mr Bhaveek
you can short or take long position as per ur nifty trend tool but what happens if market opens gap up or gap down next day.
Bhaveek Patel says
Nifty trend finder shows short term trend and its has noting to do with entries or exits. For entries or exits your can use the indicators.
MSHAJAHAN says
Mr.Bhaveek
You have done a good job. When the data should be entered ?
At market opening time or any time during market hours ? Is it for intraday or short term ?
Bhaveek Patel says
Sir, Use this tool before market opens, with closing data (EOD data). Trend on this application will show short term trend of nifty.
Let me know if you like this app or have any feedback for it.
Jayesh says
Bhaveek, today nifty trend finder is showing that nifty is in uptrend, with 55% chances of going up. what’s your view for same???
Bhaveek Patel says
Hi Jayesh,
I am bullish on nifty future and bank nifty, also extremely bullish on high beta stocks like sesagoa.
pawan says
sir, is there any tool to find stock trend. if yes pl. let me know.
thanks,
pawan
Bhaveek Patel says
Hi Pawan, As nifty has highly liquid options, so it is feasible to find trend. But for stocks this is not the case.
Vandhana Karthick says
Whats the accuracy of nifty trend finder tool? And how much probability does it work as accordingly?
RAMZAMA says
thank you sir to help me…. few doubts are there still now… relinance infra is trading at 505 levels.. but in that graph it shows 432 … are those different companies?
Bhaveek Patel says
Reliance infra (RELINFRA) and Reliance industrial infrastructure (RIIL) are both different companies. This is the reason you are seeing so much difference in prices.
Ramzamma says
dear sir,
really this trend finder is superb sir… but could not able to decide what option to buy and at what interval we have to plot the data in that window? kindly inform me sir…
musthafa says
please tell how to download datafeeder and amibroker to view cost free software
Bhaveek Patel says
Hi Musthafa, datafeeder is free of cost you only need to purchase amibroker or even u can use trial version. Datafeeder works fine with both of these versions, let me know if I can be of your help further. 🙂
nirajpandoh says
For downloading datafeeder free of cost, & trail version/ free version if possible of Amibroker since we are just starting to learn trade, can we get the site or link for download. Pls send it on our mail Id .
Thanks
NIRAJ
ANAND CHOUHAN says
THANKS FOR A GOOD TOOLS.
I CAN’T UNDERSTAND THAT WHY WE INTER SPOT PRICE, WHY NOT FUTURE PRICE ?
PLEASE CLARIFY
THAKS AGAIN
Bhaveek Patel says
Hi Anand, We use nifty spot prices because nifty futures and options are derived from spot. While calculating the value of options we always use the spot prices. Here in above system, I am using option price to check the premium with respect to spot prices, finally we get the trend. Future price has a lot of factors in them, like premium / discount. Hope you have understood. 🙂
Amar says
Hi Bhaveek…. You are a genius… really u got a point .. i saw the nifty trend finder and we know that share market is depend on human sentiment also and u tried to add human sentiments in the your logic… i am impressed… good job… i want to check your logic in worst conditions of market (real time)… good job.. thanks
Surendra says
Dear Bhaveek,
Would request you to add time and dateline for each comment received and reply by you, to determine the chronological sequence, and differentiate between old and latest. Thanks.
Anand Nayak says
Dear Bhaveek,
I seen a very good toll on your site Trend for NIFTY you can use social chat system from above, it is free to use.Thanks
Vinod Dhamnekar says
Hi,
Can you tell me exact formula for finding nifty trend.Because when I calculate the same manually, the answer differs to some extent.I also want to know the logic behind your formula. Awaiting your reply very soon.
Ok.goodbye
Ajay Kumar says
Dear patel
plase tell me the formula for calculating trend.
Regards
Ajay
avinash p. says
Thanks.for this useful app.
noor says
i wan to learn option trading but more simplified with 3-4 strategies.tht works in buy call-buy put….sell call-sell put…………..what is premium-strike price-spot price in all the four ( buy call-buy put…sell call-sell put.)…
what should be the minimum investment for option trading and safer option strategies.
karan pratap sing says
sir ye tool to kafi acha hai .pahle to nahi dekha tha. shayad aap ko yaad hoga ki maine aap se Technical Analysis sikha tha
sridhar says
sir,
i am sridhar.i am trading now nifty options.r u giving any tips.i would like to subscribe the nifty option calls.please send mail to me.
Thanks
K P Singh says
Hi I am trading in nifty and your Nifty Future Trend Finder free Application is very useful. In my office net connections is not avl i use my phone for that so plz give me excel file for calculation of this application.
Regards,
ahamed says
really awesome nd superb
siddhesh says
too good nice job
siddhesh says
how accurate it work
rocky says
Bhaveek bro , pls add date & time below the comments and your posts and tools so tht we know how old the post is .
Keep up the gr8 work .
Ajay Kumar says
sir
would it be possible for me to find trend for some other script with help of ur tool trend finder. please advise sir.
naran says
hi,
its very useful. i started watching……
shailesh jain. says
As we go long by seeing this calculator market went down.
Any if trend goes our direction wht to do.
Nimesh says
Sir
your idea is very good to indicate the trend. but can you say at what % are the sureity to make a 100 % profit from the trend, and it is WORKING for intraday or for EOD (BEFORE PRE-OPEN FOR NEXT DAYS) ONLY.
PLS GUIDE US
THANKS
jaman says
good tool, go ahead…
hITESH says
Hi, Pratik, to day i come acrross your side and its look intresting.
I am basic trader for call put still learning not getting profit till date , kndly guide me if possible.so i can be a profitable trader.
i am also avaialble during trade hours at yahoo
thanks
hitesh
rajesh dewangan says
hi i am nifty daily trader but steel now not getting profit regularly please sugess me
sushil says
Bhaveek bhai , pls add date & time below the comments of your posts and tools so tht we know how old the post is .
Keep up the gr8 work .
Ashish Misra says
I request to send Open interest excel sheel on my mail ID, so that I can check it and work according to open inetrest and Nifty future trand finder. Plz
Thanks in advance.
SRINATH SOMAYAJI says
Sir,
As per today’s EOD Nifty spot is closed at 5889.75 and as per Trend decider, the price of October 2013 CE 6100 & PE 5900 is 118.75 & 167.5 respectively and Trend is NEGATIVE with 58.64% chances of going down, in that case, how to find target price, Stop Loss Price.
For my understanding, let us assume, if i bought above two option, whether i need to check trend decider very day?
SRINATH SOMAYAJI says
sir,
I am not able to under stand the definition mentioned by you on “Trend Finder” – ‘Main criterion behind the trend calculation is the difference between the spot price and the strike price of call and put option if the premium is more than the difference value it will determine the trend.’, request you to explain the same with an example.
Sathishkumar says
Hello boss,
I came to know about this site today… I have entered the values of nifty. It gives me up & down percentage & the trend. Based on the information can i predict the high & low value of nifty tomorrow.
For example…
Nifty futures is in uptrend with a chances of going up is 55% & the chances of going down is 45% & also the current nifty price is 6000 (example).
Here can you give me, how to predict the high & low price of the next day…? is it possible to predict the entry & exit level..?
DR ANAND says
today i bought 5800pe and 6000ce as suggested by trend finder 1lot each @same price almost 123.20. what is your comment?
sandeep yadav says
bhaiya in this scenario nifty price or nifty future price is to be applied . and as we know time decay also in option so it is applied in starting of month or at ending
adam says
hi everyone .. Seeking for a favour.. I really dont know abu this .. I came across when i was searching nifty future index for my assignment on investment analysis .. I’m really wanna know abu this . Which will be useful for my studies too .. . Use of finding this , future index means , ect .. Comment on this i’ll be really happy to take all … Thank you .. Hope so ..
DR ANANDG says
When I had back tested it For 8/11,with spot6186,
It was showing TREND UP.But that day TREND DOWN. IS IT NOT MISLEADING
H Ravi Chandran says
Dear Sir
You have added value to others. Excellent for your positive spirit. Is there any equivalent excel application to find the Nifty Trend?
Thanks
Ravi
Bhaveek Patel says
No excel file as of now, but we will look forward to create one.
krubha says
Hi,
This is Krubha, Tool working good. Can u send me this formula to my mail id ([email protected]) ?
Saby Pinto says
Hi Bhaveek,
Been browsing ur website since afternoon non-stop till 9 pm now. Can’t get out of here. But one problem, all ur articles are old. There is no date & time stamp on the articles or the posts also. Pls include that. Where do i find ur latest posts as of today’s date?
Lathika VK says
I happen to see your site and was checking the nifty trend finder of NS EOD of 7th ,8th,9th of OCT 2014. 7 &8 Oct was almost correct but 9th Oct gave a wrong trend.I am interested in joining technical analysis course in the month of Nov 2014 especially if possible on 4th & 6th of Nov.
Have a nice time
saju says
Please upload the excel version
Amit D says
Nice work ,I guess it is more related to OI.
But a really handy tool.
Kudos to you.
V.V.PRASAD says
Is there any past performance results of the trend finder
VIJAY CHAUHAN says
nifty finder appliation is not displayed in my computer.Pl.guide me how to see it
Vijender Verma says
Dear Bhaveek Patel
Nifty trend finder is a very nice tool… thanx a lot for nifty trend finder
lekshmanan says
It is good.. Nice work Bhaveek. please provide like this for for Equity Stock.
ajit thomas dcosta says
Hi Bhaveek,
When the difference between upward and downward trend is minute than, we should go with upward (call) or downward ( put) trend. Please suggest.
leo says
Wat is ce and pe and cmp explain it
M.Kumar says
can i get latest data feeder. whatever is downloaded my antivirus deleting it as trojen virus.
pls help
Mounish says
Tool is good,
If you can add same kinds of tool for Bank Nifty would be really helpfull.
Manoj kumar says
its nice.. can please provide the same in excel. [email protected]
AMITAVA ROY says
HI Bhavesh,
Could you make me understand the formula you used in your calculator for finding the Nifty Trend based on Spot,CE and PE?
How far I should generally count the gap between CE & PE Strike Price? Is it of 200 Points fixed ?
Awaiting for your reply?
Amit Kumar says
Sir Can we get the Excel form for Nifty trend finder